In its outlook 2040 for the energy sector, the african development bank. The international energy agencys iea africa energy outlook a special report in the 2014 world energy outlook series offers a most comprehensive analytical study of energy in africa, specifically in subsaharan africa, the epicentre of the global challenge to overcome energy poverty. Illustrating the challenges africa faces, figure 1 shows energy consumption per capita versus gdp per capita in 2015 and 2040 from the ieo2018 reference case. Current growth remains ahead of many other parts of the world and africa is forecast to remain one of the worlds three fastestgrowing regions in the coming years. This publication covers a broad overview and analysis of the south african energy sector and aims to keep stakeholders informed about developments as well as. Irena 2018, irena planning and prospects for renewable power. Pdf africa energy outlook world energy outlook special. Subsaharan african wind production is booming, with east africa seeing a major bump in wind energy generation. The world energy outlook series is a leading source of strategic insight on the future of energy and energy related emissions, providing detailed scenarios that map out the consequences of different energy policy and investment choices. Pdf maghreb goes directly from the major gas fields at hassi rmel. Africa outlook is a digital and print product aimed at boardroom and handson decisionmakers across a wide range of industries on the continent. Subsaharan africa s energy sector can be improved to unlock a better life for its citizens. Subsaharan africa is rich in energy resources, but very poor in energy supply.
The principal authors were hannah daly and molly a. Examining energy efficiency issues in subsaharan africa. Energy market projections are uncertain because the events that shape future developments in technology, demographic changes, economic trends, and resource availability that drive energy use are fluid. Simon nicholas, energy finance analyst tim buckley, director of energy finance studies september 2019 1 south african coal exports outlook approaching longterm decline executive summary south africas thermal coal export industry is facing longterm, permanent decline. The opinions expressed and arguments employed herein do not necessarily reflect the official views of the african development bank, its boards of directors, or the countries they represent. Africa energy outlook iea publication 2014 ecowrex. International energy outlook 2019 is dedicated to the memory of linda doman. Africa energy outlook 2019 connaissance des energies. Africa power outlook africa energy outlook india energy outlook world energy outlook special report southeast asia modernity and its malcontents. The west africa clean energy corridor wacec, enjoying broad regional political support, was adopted by the council of ministers for the economic community of west african states ecowas as an annex to the ecowas treaty in december 2016. Bp energy outlook 2019 insights from the evolving transition scenario africa africa s net exports fall significantly even as production rises, due to its own consumption growing strongly. South african coal exports outlook institute for energy. The world energy outlook series is a leading source of strategic insight on the future of energy and energyrelated emissions, providing detailed scenarios that map out the consequences of different energy policy and investment choices. Bp considers the scenarios in the outlook, together with a range of other analysis and information, when forming its longterm strategy.
African energy atlas africa energy 20182019 edition issn 20460473 oil reserves ppas signed in 2017 36 2010. This report is based on information collated from energy industry and research papers. Energy intensity is improving across major economies, but the rate of change and relationship to energy demand varies. The international energy agencys iea africa energy outlook a special report in the 2014 world energy. The outlook for providing access to electricity is bittersweet. West africa, international renewable energy agency, abu dhabi. Linda led or contributed to the development of the international energy outlook for more than three decades. But renewables, together with natural gas in many areas, are poised to lead africas energy consumption growth as the continent moves away. Five years after the world energy outlooks first special report on africa, the international energy agency has updated and expanded its outlook. Southern africa regional supply and market outlook report. Bp energy outlook 2019 insights from the evolving transition scenario africa africas net exports fall significantly even as production rises, due to its own consumption growing strongly. In a reversal of current trends, 2 out of 3 future investment dollars produce energy for subsaharan consumers, but this is st ill not enough to meet their needs in full average annual investment in subsaharan energy supply 20 40 60 80 100 120 200020 20142035 billion dollars 20.
The international energy outlook 2019 provides longterm world energy projections 7. Energy implications of higher economic growth in africa. Under cbis ownership, african energy has forged a reputation for high quality maps and cartographic resources, showcased through the african energy atlas, and a power and gas projects database that has been central to much of our. Between 1980 and 2000, per capita consumption of modern energy in east and southern africa has remained small and stagnant, falling from an average of 317kgoe kilogrammes of oil. For the first time ever, in april 2019, renewable energy outpaced coal by providing 23 percent of us power generation, compared to coals 20 percent share. Understanding africas energy needs world economic forum. This study was prepared by the world energy outlook weo team in the directorate of. A new africa energy world a more positive power utilities. The purpose of this document is to provide a background to energy supply and demand in south africa as a base for the energy model. Our monthly magazine is essential reading for business executives wanting to keep up with the latest in global news affecting african businesses across all industries, as well as exclusive, engaging and sharable features generated from their peers. Iea energy efficiency 2018 and world energy outlook 2018. African energy atlas 20182019 edition issn 20460473 oil reserves ppas signed in 2017 36 2010. The international energy agencys iea africa energy outlooka special report in the 2014 world energy outlook seriesoffers a comprehensive analytical study of energy in africa, specifically in subsaharan africa, the epicenter of the global challenge to overcome energy poverty.
This includes detailed modelling of 11 subsaharan countries that enabled us to produce comprehensive, datarich profiles from which we extracted. This africa energy outlook contains quantitative analysis of important factors influencing energy development in africa. Brazil, china, japan, india, and russia are shown for comparison. The international energy agencys africa energy outlook. Africa energy outlook ica the infrastructure consortium for africa. Between 1980 and 2000, per capita consumption of modern energy in east and southern africa has remained small and stagnant, falling from an average of 317kgoe kilogrammes of oil equivalent to 292kgoe world bank, 2003. Consumption of modern energy in subsaharan africa excluding south africa is very low. Oct 14, 2014 africa energy outlook 2014 a focus on energy prospects in subsaharan africa slideshare uses cookies to improve functionality and performance, and to provide you with relevant advertising. This report describes one of the most poorly understood parts of the global energy system, offers an authoritative study of its future prospects broken down by fuel, sector and subregion and shows how. Oct 28, 2014 state of energy use and access in subsaharan africa, the iea has created a common reference point for all of us to use, from which plans, progress, and need can be gauged.
This report describes one of the most poorly understood parts of the global energy system, offers an authoritative study of its future prospects broken down by fuel, sector and subregion and shows how investment in the subsaharan energy sector can stimulate rapid economic and social development. Responsible and sustainable development of africas mineral resources is vital for africas economic outcomes and global energy transitions share of africa in global minerals production, 2018 manganese cobalt platinum tantalum africa rest of world share of minerals in product exports in africa, 2017 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% africa dr congo zambia. A focus on energy efficiency in africa in parallel with new energy supply central station power generation, minigrids, and distributed renewable generation can help reduce energy intensity 7, realize energy savings 8, lower the carbon footprint 9, create jobs 10 and markets for energy efficiency related products and services, and allow. Africa energy outlook 2014 a focus on energy prospects in subsaharan africa slideshare uses cookies to improve functionality and performance, and to provide you with relevant advertising. Renewable energy will play an important role in africas energy mix in the coming years. Africa energy outlook a focus on energy prospects in sub. This africa energy outlook contains quantitative analysis of important factors influencing energy. It includes detailed energy profiles of 11 countries that represent threequarters of the regions gross domestic product and energy demand, including nigeria, south africa, ethiopia, kenya and ghana. Clean energy solutions center africa energy outlook.
Power continues to be a focal point in ssa as demand for energy continues. It gives me a great pleasure to introduce the 2018 south african energy sector report. With rising population, urbanisation and industrialisation, africa is increasingly influential for global energy trends. This is a more than fourfold increase from only 5% in 20. The energy outlook explores the forces shaping the global energy transition out to 2040 and the key uncertainties.
In this sensitivity analysis, african gdp grows by an average 5. A new africa energy world a more positive power utilities outlook. If you continue browsing the site, you agree to the use of cookies on this website. Pdf energy outlook in east africa region and the carbon. Electricity demand almost triples with renewables becoming the largest source of power generation by 2040. Africa is substantively built on the geo6 regional assessment for africa. It was designed and directed by laura cozzi, head of the weo energy demand outlook division. Primary energy demand, gdp and energy intensity in selected economies, 200017 energy use and intensity trends differ by country and region 60 80 100 120 140 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 2017 european union. It includes detailed energy profiles of 11 countries that represent threequarters of the regions gross domestic product and energy demand, including nigeria, south. The share of renewables in the african fuel mix grows from 1% today to 16% by.
Africa energy outlook world energy outlook special report. Africa had the lowest per capita energy consumption of the displayed countries in 2015 and also the lowest of any ieo region. The share of renewables in the african fuel mix grows from 1% today to 16% by 2040. Africa continues to provide a bright spot in global economic growth. This study was prepared by the world energy outlook weo team in the directorate of sustainability, technology and outlooks sto in cooperation with other directorates and offices of the agency. To better understand the energy implications of higher economic growth in africa, eia considered an africa high gdp growth case. Initiative partnership dialogue facility euei pdf and barefoot college. Sub saharan africa s energy sector can be improved to unlock a better life for its. On october 28, the energy security initiative and africa growth initiative at brookings hosted the u. It is estimated that by 2040 more than 25% or africas total energy will come a variety of clean sources geothermal, hydro, solar and wind. Energy outlook in east africa region and the carbon emissions for conventional energy projection part i. Making reliable and affordable energy widely available is critical to the development of a region that accounts for % of the worlds population, but only 4% of its energy demand. Outlook is only one source among many when considering the future of global energy markets.
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